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The Innovation

Elsevier BV

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match The Innovation's content profile, based on 12 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.04% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Health and Economic Benefits of Air Quality Improvements in France through Net-Zero Transition Scenarios by 2050

Sharma, A.; Gressent, A.; Real, E.; Nguyen, K. N.; Corso, M.; Pascal, M.; Medina, S.; Wagner, V.; Slama, R.; Colette, A.; Jean, K.

2026-05-28 public and global health 10.64898/2026.05.27.26354123 medRxiv
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Background: Climate mitigation policies can lower air pollutant concentrations and deliver substantial health co-benefits. The French Ecological Transition Agency (ADEME) proposed four contrasting Transitions 2050 net-zero scenarios. We quantified mortality, morbidity, and health-economic co-benefits from projected PM2.5 and NO2 reductions across all four scenarios in continental France. Methods: Emission projections were input to the CHIMERE chemistry-transport model to estimate PM2.5 and NO2 concentrations for 2030 and 2050. Health impacts were assessed using disease-specific cessation-lag assumptions relative to 2019, covering premature mortality, morbidity, DALYs, and economic benefits across nine outcomes (hypertension, lung cancer, ischaemic heart disease, stroke, COPD, type-2 diabetes, acute lower respiratory infections, and asthma in children and adults). Findings: Population exposure is projected to decline by about 40% for PM2.5 and 70% for NO2 by 2050, with health gains remaining substantial and broadly equivalent across all four scenarios and modest differences between sufficiency-oriented and technology-driven pathways. Under delayed-impact assumptions, avoided premature deaths ranged from 21,300 to 22,100 for PM2.5 and 24,500 to 26,200 for NO2. Morbidity and disability-adjusted life year (DALY) reductions, as well as economic savings, spanned similarly; total avoided morbidity cases were 84,000-88,000, direct medical cost reductions were e1.0-1.1 billion/year, and intangible cost savings of e41-43 billion and e36-39 billion, respectively. Interpretation: Health co-benefits are substantial, consistent across contrasting scenarios, and increase markedly from 2030 to 2050. Explicitly incorporating these co-benefits into climate policy appraisals may strengthen the case for ambitious mitigation and improve decision-maker acceptability.

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PFAS exposure and neuroimmune and Alzheimers Disease related plasma biomarkers in a rural, cognitively unimpaired population: a pilot study

Souza-Talarico, J. N.; Lehmler, H.-J.; Li, X.; Hefti, M.; Fu, Y.; Harb, A.; Hein, M.; Ding, L.; Perkhounkova, Y.

2026-06-01 neurology 10.64898/2026.05.23.26353843 medRxiv
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INTRODUCTION: Alzheimers disease (AD) is a multifactorial disorder, yet current research largely focuses on downstream biomarkers with limited attention to environmental contributors. Experimental studies suggest that per and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) may contribute to neuroimmune and neurodegenerative pathways relevant to AD. OBJECTIVE: To examine associations between PFAS exposure and neuroimmune and AD related plasma biomarkers in cognitively unimpaired rural adults. METHODS: In a cross sectional pilot study (n=48), serum concentrations of 33 PFAS were measured, including four legacy compounds (PFOS, PFHxS, PFOA, PFNA). Plasma neuroimmune related (ITGB2, SMOC1, TREM2, GFAP) and AD related biomarkers (Ab42/40, ptau217) were detected using proteomic analysis. RESULTS: PFOS showed moderate associations with ITGB2, SMOC1, and Ab42/40 in unadjusted analyses, which attenuated after adjustment for age. PFOA and PFNA demonstrated consistent inverse associations with TREM2 before and after adjustment. DISCUSSION: Findings suggest possible compound specific PFAS associations with immune and amyloid related biomarkers, supporting further investigation in longitudinal and PFAS mixture based studies.

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Short-term Air Pollution Exposure and Risk of Airway Inflammatory Response in Children (CHERISH): Protocol for a Randomised Mixed Factorial Study

Moloney, S.; Hajmohammadi, H.; Wood, H. E.; Mead, M. I.; Mudway, I. S.; Mosler, G.; Thomson, A. C.; Gonzalez Calvo, I.; Scales, J.; Whitehouse, A.

2026-05-28 public and global health 10.64898/2026.05.28.26353607 medRxiv
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Introduction Air pollution is the largest environmental risk to human health. Children are disproportionately affected by air pollution and their exposure is amplified during physical activity. Observed concentrations of nitrogen dioxide in 1 in 4 London school playground exceeds the European limit, but the health impacts of air pollution exposure in London school playgrounds remain unexplored. Our study aims to assess and compare the acute changes in lung function and airway inflammation of primary school-aged children exercising in school playgrounds. Methods and analysis 330 children aged 8 to 11 years from ten London schools will be recruited to complete 90 minutes of physical activity and 90 minutes of rest in their school playground in a randomised crossover design. Pre-, post-, and 24-hour post-exposure oscillometry measurements will be performed with airway resistance at 5 Hz (R5) the primary physiological outcome. Nasal lavage samples will be collected pre-exposure and 24-hour post-exposure for analysis of inflammatory, oxidative, and vascular biomarkers, with IL-6 as the primary biological outcome. Mixed-effects regression models will examine associations between estimated pollutant exposures, exercise and physiological responses.

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Cleaner Air for Lower Cardiometabolic Risk: protocol for a double-blind, randomized, sham-controlled trial of HEPA filtration in adults with prediabetes.

Wittkopp, S.; Asachi, P.; Kazatsker, F.; Aleman, J. O.; Gordon, T.; Brook, R.; Thorpe, L.; Newman, J. D.

2026-06-01 endocrinology 10.64898/2026.05.29.26354420 medRxiv
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Introduction Air pollution is a leading driver of cardiovascular disease with a growing body of literature implicating this in worse glucose homeostasis. Increases in fine particulate matter air pollution (PM2.5) are associated with increased blood glucose and hemoglobin A1c across the glycemic spectrum from normoglycemia to prediabetes to all forms of diabetes. Despite strong evidence for positive associations of PM2.5 with dysglycemia, it remains unknown if reducing air pollution exposure through air filtration can effect improvements in glucose. This study aims to test the hypothesis that short-term, in-home air pollution reduction using high efficiency particulate air (HEPA) filtration will improve blood sugar in adults with prediabetes. Methods and analysis This trial is a randomized, double-blind, sham-controlled trial of the effects of lowering air pollution exposure using HEPA filtration on cardiometabolic health in adults with prediabetes living in the New York City area. Participants will be randomly assigned to use bedroom air cleaners, or sham air cleaners, while measuring PM2.5 continuously for 1 month. The primary outcomes will be continuous glucose monitoring metrics measured before and after HEPA air filtration. Exploratory outcomes will include insulin resistance measures, serum biomarkers and transcriptomics measured before and after HEPA intervention. We will quantify effects of HEPA filtration with models using treatment arm (true versus sham filtration) as the independent variable. Secondary analyses will model continuous measures of PM2.5 as the independent variable. Ethics and Dissemination This study has undergone peer review; and the work was supported by Grant 2023-0214 from the Doris Duke Foundation, who had no other role in study design or implementation. The study was registered in ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT05994937) prior to recruitment. Clinical Trials Clinical Trials NCT05994937; https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT05994937

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Urban environment and socio-economic inequalities in childhood excess weight: a cross-sectional study in Geneva, Switzerland

Richard, V.; De Ridder, D.; Heritier, H.; Lorthe, E.; Dumont, R.; Bovio, N.; Nehme, M.; Barbe, R. P.; Posfay-Barbe, K. M.; McDade, T. W.; Vuilleumier, N.; Guessous, I.; Stringhini, S.

2026-05-27 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354079 medRxiv
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Background Childhood overweight and obesity represent major public health challenges, shaped by socio-economic and environmental factors. This study investigates the mediating and moderating role of urban environmental exposures in socio-economic disparities in childhood excess weight. Methods Data was drawn from a population-based sample of children (2-9 years) and adolescents (10-17 years) living in Geneva, Switzerland. Parents reported household financial situation and children's height and weight, from which excess weight (i.e. overweight or obesity) was derived. Residential exposures to air pollution (PM2.5, NO2), noise (daytime, nighttime), and neighborhood greenness (green areas, canopy coverage) were estimated based on geocoded residential addresses. The association between household financial situation and excess weight was evaluated, as well as the mediating and moderating roles of urban environmental exposures. Results The analysis included 1006 children and 1154 adolescents. Among children, an average-to-poor household financial situation was associated with higher odds of excess weight in children (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]: 1.79, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.13; 2.84). Higher noise exposure was associated with excess weight (daytime: aOR: 1.40, 95% CI: 1.10; 1.77, nighttime: aOR: 1.37, 95% CI: 1.08; 1.74), while the association with PM2.5 appeared stronger among socio-economically disadvantaged children, though the interaction did not reach statistical significance (financial situation x PM2.5 interaction: aOR: 1.59, 95% CI: 0.98; 2.59). No significant associations were observed among adolescents. Conclusion These findings highlight the joint influence of social and environmental inequalities on childhood excess weight and stress the need to address these interconnected determinants to design equitable, targeted public health interventions.

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Advancing brain health equity after traumatic brain injury: A multi-stakeholder global priority-setting study

Mollayeva, T.; SantAna, T. T.; Shaikh, U.; Spouge, R.; Hanafy, S.; Fuller-Thomson, E.; McDonald, M.; Colantonio, A.; Cee, D.; McGettrick, G.; Lawlor, B.

2026-05-27 neurology 10.64898/2026.05.19.26353566 medRxiv
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The impact of social parameters on brain health among people with traumatic brain injury (TBI) has been extensively documented. However, translation of this evidence into policy and clinical practice remains limited. This may reflect a lack of coordinated and equity-driven approaches to brain health that integrate diverse stakeholder perspectives, limiting progress toward equity-oriented research and service delivery models. We conducted a convergent parallel mixed-methods study guided by the REporting guideline for PRIority SEtting of health research (REPRISE). We utilized the PROGRESS-Plus framework (Place of residence, Race/ethnicity, Occupation, Gender/sex, Religion, Education, Socioeconomic status, Social capital, and context-specific parameters) to ensure systematic consideration of social parameters in the study. For Objective 1, we synthesized existing evidence on social parameters and brain health outcomes. For Objective 2, we surveyed people with lived experience of TBI, family members/friends, clinicians, researchers, and community leaders across the globe to assess their prioritization of social parameters relevant to brain health. For Objective 3, we integrated evidence synthesis and stakeholder input through a structured Round Robin consensus activity to prioritize actionable areas for feasibility and impact. The activity culminated in the development of a knowledge mobilization agenda designed to inform equity-centred policy, research, and clinical practice. In Objective 1, we identified 59 publications with evidence on the effect of PROGRESS-Plus parameters on brain health outcomes following TBI. Meta-research highlighted that education, age, and country-level indicators are prognostic for brain health after TBI. In Objective 2, the highest-ranked priorities of 113 stakeholders across four continents (North America, Europe, Africa, and Oceania) were education, access to benefits, and income. These priorities were at the centre of discussion in Objective 3, which comprised idea sharing, refinement and thematic clustering, and a final prioritization poll. The resulting final 15 priorities were organized into two tracks: Track A, actions feasible in the short term, and Track B, longer-term implementation priorities. Building on this priority-setting process, co-created with stakeholders around the globe, the findings provide a roadmap for integration of social parameters in TBI research, knowledge exchange, policy, and practice.

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Multimodal axes reveal individualized amyloid-β , tau, and neurodegeneration coupling in aging and Alzheimer s disease

Poulakis, K.; Ioannou, K.; Bezgin, G.; Chiotis, K.; Iturria-Medina, Y.

2026-05-26 neurology 10.64898/2026.05.24.26353955 medRxiv
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Can we decode Alzheimers disease (AD) heterogeneity into a few portable axes that capture how amyloid-{beta}, tau and neurodegeneration (A-T-N) spatially co vary in vivo? To answer this question, we built a pipeline that harmonizes longitudinal amyloid-{beta}/tau PET and T1 MRI (gray matter) from ADNI cohort (12,430 images) with mixed effects modeling and then derived stage specific multimodal axes (mVCs) using linked component analysis, with robustness tested in simulations and external validation in the OASIS cohort (4,958 images). We identified a small set of multimodal axes that (i) recapitulate early tau weighted variation in cognitively unimpaired (CU) individuals, AD like A-T-N coupling in cognitively impaired (CI) individuals and atypical CU and CI participants with posterior (precuneus/occipitoparietal) and fronto insular/frontal weighted patterns, (ii) map onto domain specific cognition, APOE e4, and blood/CSF biomarkers of neurodegeneration, neuroaxonal injury and astrocyte activation, (iii) predict clinical transitions, (iv) generalize in an independent cohort, and (v) demonstrate modelling robustness to missing data, high dimensionality, and cross-cohort variability, enabling direct application of the extracted axes to new datasets for biomarker discovery and stratification. Multimodal axes provide a portable, interpretable layer for quantifying amyloid-{beta}-tau-neurodegeneration coupling at the individual level, complementing current biomarker-based staging frameworks based on A-T-N status and tau PET topography, and can be computed on new datasets to aid clinical assessment and trial enrichment.

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Normative Speech Modeling for ALS Diagnosis with Application to Other Neurodegenerative Diseases

Shah, M.

2026-05-27 neurology 10.64898/2026.05.25.26354057 medRxiv
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Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) is a progressive neurodegenerative disease affecting more than 450,000 individuals worldwide and is frequently diagnosed more than 12 months after symptom onset, delaying intervention during a critical early window. Because up to 80% of patients develop dysarthria within two years, subtle changes in speech provide a signal of early bulbar motor neuron degeneration. However, existing speech-based systems rely on supervised classification trained on limited datasets, achieving moderate sensitivity and depending heavily on labeled disease examples, which restrict scalability and early detection. This study introduces SPEAK-NORM, the first-ever normative speech modeling framework for early ALS diagnosis, which learns age- and sex-conditioned motor-speech distributions exclusively from healthy individuals. A conditional variational autoencoder models coordination of hypoglossal, laryngeal, and respiratory motor pathways, and deviation from this healthy manifold is quantified through latent representations and reconstruction error to form a 354-dimensional profile. A calibrated linear Support Vector Machine performs subject-level classification under subject-disjoint validation. On the VOC-ALS database (n = 153), SPEAK-NORM achieves 98% accuracy with balanced sensitivity and specificity, significantly outperforming established clinical acoustic indices and prior systems. The framework maintains strong performance under cross-task generalization and when retrained on healthy controls in independent dementia and Parkinson disease cohorts, demonstrating disease-specific deviation patterns rather than generic neurodegenerative change. Spectral, temporal, and latent separations further support interpretability. By modeling healthy speech instead of memorizing disease examples, SPEAK-NORM enables scalable early neuromotor screening using recording devices, with potential to support earlier diagnosis, differential classification, and monitoring of ALS progression.

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Influenza vaccine effectiveness against pneumonia and COPD exacerbations among patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in Thailand: A national test-negative design study, 2013-2024

Chawalchitiporn, S.; Tantiyavarong, P.; Kittiwatanachod, J.; Naosri, S.; Prasert, K.; Praphasiri, P.

2026-05-27 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354178 medRxiv
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Background/Objectives: Influenza infection is a major trigger of pneumonia and acute exacerbations among patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). However, national laboratory-confirmed evidence on influenza vaccine effectiveness (VE) in this high-risk population remains limited. This study aimed to estimate the effectiveness of seasonal influenza vaccination against influenza-associated pneumonia and COPD exacerbations among patients with COPD in Thailand.Methods: We conducted a nationwide retrospective test-negative design study using administrative healthcare data from the National Health Security Office linked with laboratory-confirmed influenza surveillance data between June 1, 2013, and May 31, 2025, covering twelve influenza seasons (2013-2024). COPD-related clinical episodes among patients aged [≥]40 years who presented with pneumonia or acute exacerbation of COPD and underwent RT-PCR testing for influenza were included. Multilevel Poisson regression models were used to estimate adjusted risk ratios (RRs), and VE was calculated as (1 - adjusted RR) x 100.Results: A total of 606,072 COPD-related clinical episodes were included, of which 192,224 (31.7%) were influenza-positive. The overall adjusted VE against influenza-associated pneumonia was 63.2% (95% CI: 62.5-64.0), while VE against influenza-associated COPD exacerbations was 67.0% (95% CI: 48.8-78.8). VE estimates were broadly similar across age groups and remained substantial across COPD severity strata. Although point estimates were numerically higher in severe and very severe COPD, subgroup differences should be interpreted cautiously.Conclusions: Seasonal influenza vaccination was associated with substantial protection against influenza-associated pneumonia and COPD exacerbations among patients with COPD in Thailand.

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Field-ready portable rapid nucleic acid test for tuberculosis detection and drug-resistance profiling in resource-limited settings

Nag, S.; Banerjee, S.; Banerjee, S.; Ghosh, S.; Bera, A.; Shanmugam, S.; Mondal, A.; Chakraborty, S.

2026-06-01 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.05.29.26354438 medRxiv
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Tuberculosis (TB) remains one of the deadliest infectious diseases, with over a million deaths annually and a growing threat from multidrug-resistant strains (MDR-TB). A major bottleneck in controlling TB is the lack of truly portable, rapid, and user-friendly diagnostic systems that can operate effectively in decentralized, resource-constrained settings. Here, we present a first-of-its-kind, portable nucleic-acid-based diagnostic platform that enables both primary TB screening and detection of drug resistance within the same unified framework, without any change in the operative embodiment. The system integrates loop-mediated isothermal amplification (LAMP) targeting dual Mycobacterium tuberculosis markers (IS6110 and IS1081) with a compact, AI-enabled device and smartphone-based readout, delivering rapid and reliable results at the point-of-care. Clinical evaluation across 105 samples demonstrated high sensitivity and specificity. Further validation through real-world deployment in a primary healthcare setting, using a single-gene (IS6110) configuration operated by minimally trained personnel, yielded 95.60% sensitivity and 100% specificity, benchmarked against GeneXpert. Critically, the same platform architecture, without modification, extends seamlessly to drug-resistance profiling, demonstrated here through a probe-free, allele-specific LAMP approach for identifying key mutations associated with rifampicin (rpoB) and isoniazid (katG) resistance. By combining robust molecular diagnostics with AI-driven automation in a compact and accessible format, this work represents a significant medical advancement toward democratizing TB care. The platform thus holds strong potential to enable early screening, guide timely treatment decisions, reduce transmission, and substantially strengthen global TB elimination efforts, particularly in high-burden, low-resource settings.

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Advanced Multimodal AI for Predicting Long-Term Functional Outcomes After Ischemic Stroke Using Only Admission Data

McBride, F.; Huang, H.; Kapoor, A. K.; Oermann, E.; Frontera, J. A.; Razavian, N.

2026-05-29 neurology 10.64898/2026.05.27.26354289 medRxiv
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Background and Purpose Prognostication after acute ischemic stroke often relies on limited variables and simple risk scores, despite richer information being available at admission. We developed a multimodal AI model using admission data to predict modified Rankin Scale (mRS) outcomes and compared it to established tools. Methods In a retrospective study of ischemic stroke/TIA patients, we trained three modality-specific models on admission non-contrast head CT, history and physical notes, and structured clinical variables, and combined them in a weighted-average ensemble. We predicted binary (mRS 0-2 versus 3-6) and ordinal mRS (0-6) outcomes at discharge and 90 days. Performance on an external test cohort was compared with THRIVE and SPAN-100 scores using AUROC, AUPRC, Brier score, mean absolute error (MAE), and quadratic weighted kappa (QWK). Results A total of 6,915 patients were split into training, validation and testing cohorts in a 3:1:1 ratio. For discharge binary mRS (n=1596), the multimodal ensemble achieved significantly better discrimination (AUROC 0.859, AUPRC 0.858) with 25-61% lower Brier scores than THRIVE or SPAN?100 (all p<0.001). For 90?day binary mRS (n=207), the model also outperformed both THRIVE and SPAN-100 (AUROC 0.838, AUPRC 0.805, with 3-38% lower Brier scores). Ordinal mRS prediction showed similarly strong performance with significantly better QWK at discharge and numerically lower MAE. The multimodal ensemble model reassigned about one?third of patients to different risk categories versus THRIVE and was closer to the true discharge outcome in ~74% of discordant cases. Conclusions We developed a well-calibrated multimodal AI model for prediction of discharge and 90-day post-stroke functional outcomes using only data present at the time of admission. This model outperforms existing prognostic tools and can support early clinical decision-making.

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The dangers of data double dipping in assessing the classification accuracies of blood biomarkers in Alzheimer's disease and related disorder research

Liu, T.; Zeng, X.; Snitz, B. E.; Karikari, T. K.; Deek, R. A.

2026-06-01 neurology 10.64898/2026.05.22.26353848 medRxiv
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Blood biomarker models are increasingly used in Alzheimer's disease and related dementia translational research, but predictive performance can be inflated when the same dataset is used for both model development and evaluation. We assess the effect of data double dipping using simulations and NULISA proteomic data from the MYHAT-NI community-based cohort to predict brain amyloid-beta neuroimaging status. In both settings, training AUC increased as more biomarkers were added, while testing AUC peaked earlier and then declined. These findings show that data double dipping can inflate model performance and highlight the need for external validation or internal validation with data partitioning.

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Gray Matter Morphological Networks are Associated with Neurobiological Features, Cognitive Status and Clinical Recovery in Traumatic Brain Injury

Sadikov, A.; Cai, L. T.; Xiao, J.; Yuh, E. L.; Choi, H. L.; Sun, X.; Mac Donald, C. L.; Vassar, M. J.; Diaz-Arrastia, R.; Giacino, J. T.; Okonkwo, D. O.; Robertson, C. S.; Stein, M. B.; Temkin, N.; McCrea, M. A.; Jain, S.; Manley, G. T.; Mukherjee, P.; TRACK-TBI Investigators,

2026-05-27 neurology 10.64898/2026.05.25.26354074 medRxiv
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Generalizable neuroimaging biomarkers that detect cerebral cortical changes after traumatic brain injury (TBI) and predict patient outcomes are needed to improve care and to develop targeted therapies. We used morphometric inverse divergence (MIND) analysis of structural MRI to investigate cortical gray matter morphological networks cross-sectionally and longitudinally after TBI and correlate these with symptoms, disability and cognition six months after injury. Our findings support the Triple Network Model from functional MRI of post-traumatic alterations in the relationship between task-positive, default mode and salience networks. However, the strongest associations between early cortical similarity metrics and long-term patient outcomes involved the dorsal attention network and the limbic network as well as similarity metrics across Mesulam's hierarchy of laminar differentiation. Since MIND mapping of cortical gray matter networks only requires data that is a routine part of standard clinical MRI protocols and does not need image harmonization across different scanners, this work reports a promising new tool that is immediately available for advancing research and clinical care in TBI.

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Operationalizing the neural exposome for brain health and Alzheimer's Disease and Related Dementias (AD/ADRD) vulnerability in rural settings: pilot study

Souza-Talarico, J. N.; Lehmler, H.-J.; Caldwell, J. K.; Cortes, Y.; Zuelsdorff, M.; Fun, Y.; Embree, J.; Doyle, C.; Halverson, K.; Martinez Rangel, M.; Harb, A.; Croskey, O.; Britt, K.; Howland, C.; Capuano, A. W.

2026-06-01 public and global health 10.64898/2026.05.21.26353825 medRxiv
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INTRODUCTION: Alzheimers disease and related dementias (AD/ADRD) arise from cumulative environmental, social, behavioral, and biological influences across the life course. The neural exposome framework conceptualizes how exogenous, behavioral, and endogenous factors interact to shape brain health; however, its application to preclinical AD/ADRD research, particularly in rural populations, remains limited. METHODS: We developed and piloted a community-embedded, decentralized research model to operationalize the neural exposome framework among cognitively unimpaired adults aged 45+ in two rural Midwestern U.S. communities, integrating environmental, social, behavioral, geospatial, and biological measures to evaluate exposure-related neurobiological and cognitive vulnerability. RESULTS: This approach demonstrated high feasibility and acceptability, achieving strong recruitment, retention, data completeness, and multidomain biomarker collection in rural community-based settings DISCUSSION: Pilot findings support the feasibility of neural exposome-informed research in rural U.S. communities and highlight its potential to advance prevention-oriented research on brain health and AD/ADRD.

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Using artificial intelligence for radiotherapy clinical trial quality assurance: analysis of a multi-institutional clinical trial for neurovascular-sparing prostate stereotactic ablative radiotherapy

Doucette, M.; Zhang, Y.; Liao, C.-Y.; Lin, M.-H.; Yan, Y.; Dess, R. T.; Tendulkar, R. D.; Garant, A.; Hannan, R.; Jiang, S.; Nguyen, D.; Desai, N.; Yang, D. X.

2026-05-29 health informatics 10.64898/2026.05.27.26354252 medRxiv
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Our study evaluated whether a deep learning auto segmentation model combined with machine learning triage can streamline radiotherapy clinical trial quality assurance (QA). We analyzed 107 stereotactic ablative radiotherapy (SABR) cases from a multi-institutional phase II clinical trial of neurovascular sparing prostate SABR, focusing on physician contours of the internal pudendal artery (IPA) as a novel organ-at-risk with substantial interobserver variability. Contours were scored by the trial principal investigator as Per-Protocol or Minor Deviation/Unacceptable. We applied a deep learning model for IPA auto-segmentation. Agreement between human and AI contours was then quantified using 14 overlap, distance, and surface metrics, and a supervised classifier was trained on these metrics to flag clinical trial protocol deviations. While AI segmentation achieved only modest geometric accuracy with mean Dice similarity coefficient of 0.446 and 95th percentile Hausdorff distance of 14.23, when incorporating all 14 metrics, a machine learning classifier yielded AUROC of 0.836, flagging all Minor Deviation/Unacceptable cases with 100% sensitivity on the 27 case hold-out set with 6 false positives and no false negatives. AI segmentation combined with metrics-based machine learning can triage protocol deviations within a multi-institution radiotherapy clinical trial, supporting prospective evaluation of AI-assisted trial QA.

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Sanitation Practices and Child Health Outcomes in Gulu District: The Moderating Effect of Climate, Age, and Water Access.

IDIBA, Y.; Nsereko, N. D.; Barakagira, A.

2026-06-01 occupational and environmental health 10.64898/2026.05.29.26354417 medRxiv
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Abstract Background: The sanitation crisis poses a significant public health risk, leading to diseases like diarrhea, cholera, and typhoid, which impede children's health and development in developing countries like Uganda. Improving sanitation infrastructure is crucial for safeguarding child health and future generations. However, the link between sanitation and children's health is complex, influenced by various factors. This investigation in Gulu scrutinizes the correlation between sanitation practices and child well-being, considering moderating factors such as age, climate, and consistent water accessibility. Methods: The study used a convergent parallel design with equal priority. The Social Ecological Model, Social Learning Theory, and Diffusion of Innovations Model guided it. Researchers collected data from 10 health facilities and 317 households, using purposive and simple random sampling. They used sampling proportions proportional to village size within strata. The researcher analyzed quantitative data using SPSS with factor analysis, structural equation modeling, and multivariate analysis. To analyze qualitative data, they used DQA Minor Lite software, which facilitated thematic analysis. Results: The finding shows 56.8% of households had low socio-economic status. Sanitation was poor; 24.9% household had improved latrines, 20.5% had handwashing facilities with soap, and 68.1% used basic anal cleansing. For nutrition, 38.5% of children were malnourished by MUAC; by Z-scores, 28.7% were stunted, 16.4% underweight, 13.6% wasted. Diarrhea affected 62% of children. Climate worsened sanitation: 48.3% had latrines collapse from floods, and 63.4% of waterborne diseases occurred in both dry and wet seasons. Moderation analysis on childhood diarrhea shows that sociocultural factors ({beta} = -0.20, p < 0.001), sanitation ({beta} = -0.15, p < 0.001), and health system response ({beta} = -0.18, p < 0.001) reduced diarrhea. Climate change increased risk ({beta} = 0.15, p < 0.001) and moderated sanitation effects ({beta} = 0.01, p < 0.05). Models explained 10-14% variance. Age and water access had no moderating effect. While childhood malnutrition shows that sociocultural factors ({beta} = -0.43, p < 0.001) and health system response ({beta} = -0.13, p < 0.001) reduced malnutrition. Sanitation had no effect ({beta} = 0.01, p > 0.05). Age increased malnutrition risk ({beta} = 0.28, p < 0.01) and moderated sociocultural effects ({beta} = 0.16, p < 0.001), but not sanitation. The model explained 21% variance, R{superscript 2} = 0.21, p < 0.001. Conclusion: Sociocultural improvements and health system responses lower both diarrhea and malnutrition. Climate worsens diarrhea and alters sanitation's impact. Age worsens malnutrition and changes sociocultural effects. These findings are valuable for policymakers, healthcare professionals, and researchers

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Multivariate determinants of wearable-measured sleep quality across a large observational cohort: roles of physical activity, gut microbiome, blood analytes, and lifestyle factors.

Cavon, J.; Perez, C.; Quinn-Bohmann, N.; Magis, A. T.; Gibbons, S. M.

2026-05-29 health informatics 10.64898/2026.05.27.26354250 medRxiv
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Emerging evidence links the gut microbiome to sleep quality, yet measuring sleep at scale remains challenging. Commercial wearables, such as Fitbit, capture objective sleep and activity data in naturalistic settings. We integrated Fitbit data from a large, deeply-phenotyped cohort with paired lifestyle and health questionnaires. Wearable-derived measures aligned well with self-reported sleep, activity, and happiness. We identified dozens of covariate-adjusted associations between Fitbit-derived sleep features, lifestyle factors, and multi-omic data. Among molecular feature sets, the gut microbiome showed the greatest number of associations with sleep quality: butyrate-producing genera were positively associated with sleep and amplified the benefits of physical activity. Oscillospira, in particular, was consistently associated with better sleep. In blood, insulin, omega-3, and cortisol correlated with poorer sleep, whereas lower alcohol intake and mineral supplements correlated with better sleep. These robust, covariate-adjusted findings advance mechanistic understanding of the gut-sleep axis and broader molecular and lifestyle determinants of sleep quality.

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Dentine markers of pre/early postnatal lead exposure links with brain, cognitive, and behavioral outcomes in adolescents

Marshall, A. T.; Kan, E.; Adise, S.; König, M.; McConnell, R.; Martinez, M.; Midya, V.; Arora, M.; Sowell, E. R.

2026-05-27 pediatrics 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354134 medRxiv
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Lead is a toxic metal ubiquitous in our environment. While dramatic reductions in lead sources have paralleled equivalent decreases in lead-poisoning rates, chronic lead exposure remains a critical public health concern. Childhood lead exposure (at its lowest levels) is liked to changes in cognitive development but less is known about lead's effects on children's brain structure, especially as a result of in utero exposure. We measured prenatal and early-postnatal lead exposure in shed deciduous teeth of 448 9- and 10-year-old children (from 20 United States cities) and linked those lead levels to childhood brain structure, cognition/behavior, and neighborhood- and family-level socioeconomic characteristics. Here we show negative associations between tooth-lead levels and the thickness of the brain's cortex, particularly in regions linked to language processing. With increasing tooth-lead levels, children of lower-income (versus higher-income) families showed steeper declines in receptive vocabulary. Caregiver-reported behavioral problems exhibited similar associations. With in utero exposure linked to adverse neurodevelopmental outcomes (well before lead exposure and its risks are evaluated by healthcare professionals), prenatal screening of maternal lead levels/exposure, coupled with recommended strategies to reduce its placental transmission, may help reduce lead's effects on future generations.

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High Resolution Multi-depth Quantification of the Retinal Nerve Fiber Layer

Callet, C.; Bertrand, M.; Guzman, K.; Mece, P.; Rossi, E. A.; Grieve, K.

2026-06-01 ophthalmology 10.64898/2026.05.22.26353127 medRxiv
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The retinal nerve fiber layer, composed of axon bundles converging toward the optic nerve, is a key biomarker for diagnosing and monitoring glaucoma and other neurodegenerative diseases. High-resolution en face imaging of individual nerve fiber bundles offers morphological information beyond what conventional optical coherence tomography provides, yet clinical integration remains limited by the lack of automated analysis tools and normative data. Here, we imaged 14 healthy volunteers using time-domain full-field optical coherence tomography and adaptive optics scanning laser ophthalmoscopy, and developed automated pipelines to quantify bundle width, trajectory, tortuosity, and orientation. Bundles were on average 25% wider at shallower retinal depths, width measurements were consistent across imaging modalities, and estimated axon count per bundle decreased significantly with age. Global trajectory analysis revealed systematic deviations of high resolution data from existing mathematical models, particularly in the temporal sector, leading us to propose two refined trajectory models. These normative results provide a foundation for high resolution biomarkers for use in investigations of retinal neurodegeneration.

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Random Forest Model for Predicting Post-Lockdown Antenatal Depression Risk: A Cross-Sectional Study of Pregnant Women in China

Pan, Y.; Lin, H.; HIRONO, T.; Yang, Y.; Liu, Y.; Zhang, Y.

2026-05-26 public and global health 10.64898/2026.05.23.26353929 medRxiv
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Background As lockdown measures was eased, pregnant women faced an elevated risk of COVID-19 infection, potentially impacting their mental health. This study aimed to investigate the prevalence of antenatal depression (AD) post-lockdown and develop predictive models for AD risk using machine learning. Methods A cross-sectional study utilizing the Edinburgh Postnatal Depression Scale was conducted in Beijing and Guizhou, China, from January to August 2023. Data was randomly split into training and test datasets (6:4 ratio), with logistic regression (LR), Support Vector Machine (SVM), K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), Random Forest (RF), eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), and Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT) models trained and compared. The best model underwent further examination, including SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) for feature importance, calibration curve (CC) for discrimination, and decision curve analysis (DCA) for clinical benefit. Results The effective response rate was 91.07% (459/504), with 25.7% (118/459) testing positive for AD. Multivariate analysis identified "sleep disorders," "family support level," and "COVID-19 symptom severity" as independent predictors. RF model showed the highest area under the curve in both training (0.842) and testing (0.724) datasets, with SHAP emphasizing the greatest impact of "sleep disorders" on AD. The RF model's calibration (P > 0.05) and clinical utility across thresholds (8%-95% and 10%-58%) were confirmed by CC and DCA, respectively. Conclusions AD strongly correlated with "sleep disorders," "family support level," and "COVID-19 symptom severity" post-lockdown, and the EPDS-based RF model effectively predicted AD risk.